Current community forecast
No 65.9%
Forecasters
14
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Sep 2, 26, 8:26 PM UTCSep 11, 26, 11:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Resolves YES if at least one American male player reaches the 2026 US Open men's singles final.
- A player is considered to have reached the final if he officially advances from the men's singles semifinals to the championship match, including advancement by walkover.
- Resolves NO if both finalists are non-American players.
- Only the 2026 US Open men's singles main draw counts.
- Doubles, mixed doubles, qualifying and junior events do not count.
- Nationality will be determined by the country the player officially represents in the 2026 US Open draw.
Open markets
Sports
POLYMARKETUS Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
- Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 3.5+34.5pt100%
- Michelsen Set 3 Winner+45.5pt100%
- Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 4.5+70.5pt100%
+25 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.9M
- 24h Vol
- $6.9M
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona17.9%
- Arsenal15.1%
- Bayern Munich13.2%
+33 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $28.5M
KALSHIHouston vs Philadelphia
- Houston+48.0pt91.1%
- Philadelphia-48.0pt8.9%
- Total Vol
- $2.8M
- 24h Vol
- $2.7M
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz+1.0pt58%
- Alexander Zverev+4.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton+2.0pt9%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $28.6M
KALSHIBrace vs Sorribes Tormo
- Cadence Brace52%
- Sara Sorribes Tormo48%
- Total Vol
- $2.2M
- 24h Vol
- $2M
KALSHIShelton vs Alcaraz
- Carlos Alcaraz-1.0pt77.2%
- Ben Shelton+1.0pt22.8%
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
- 24h Vol
- $1.9M
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for ๐พ Will an American man reach the 2026 US Open men's singles final??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 66% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does ๐พ Will an American man reach the 2026 US Open men's singles final? resolve?
- ๐พ Will an American man reach the 2026 US Open men's singles final? is scheduled to resolve on September 11, 2026.
- How is ๐พ Will an American man reach the 2026 US Open men's singles final? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if at least one American male player reaches the 2026 US Open men's singles final.