Current implied probability
No 91.5%
No 91.5%Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Oct 10, 26, 6:00 PM UTCOct 13, 26, 10:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market refers to the tennis match between Zizou Bergs and Carlos Alcaraz in the ATP Shanghai Masters, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 02:00 UTC.
- This market will resolve to 'Zizou Bergs' if Zizou Bergs advances against Carlos Alcaraz.
- This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Zizou Bergs.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz · Set Handicap: Carlos Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Zizou Bergs (+1.5) — Carlos Alcaraz 73%
