Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 11, 2026, 7:30 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Yes 57.7%
Yes 57.7%Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Oct 10, 26, 6:00 PM UTCOct 13, 26, 11:30 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Tommy Paul and Valentin Vacherot in the ATP Shanghai Masters, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 02:00 UTC.
- This market will resolve to 'Tommy Paul' if Tommy Paul advances against Valentin Vacherot.
- This market will resolve to 'Valentin Vacherot' if Valentin Vacherot advances against Tommy Paul.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot · Paul vs. Vacherot: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 — Over 85%
