Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 12, 2026, 5:31 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Yes 71.5%
Yes 71.5%Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Oct 11, 26, 12:05 PM UTCOct 15, 26, 11:00 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Team Falcons and NIP in the Thunderpick World Championship 2026, initially scheduled for October 14, 2026 UTC.
This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Map 1 against NIP.
This market will resolve to "NIP" if NIP win Map 1 against Team Falcons.
If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1.
If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 28, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 14, 2026 UTC).
This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Map 1 against NIP.
This market will resolve to "NIP" if NIP win Map 1 against Team Falcons.
If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1.
If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 28, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 14, 2026 UTC).
- If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played.
- Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — NIP vs. Team Falcons: Map 1 · Team Falcons 72%
