Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 4, 2026, 5:51 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Yes 55.2%
Yes 55.2%Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Oct 3, 26, 9:05 PM UTCOct 5, 26, 11:30 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming: Map 2 Winner
LimitlessAurora Gaming vs. Team Falcons: Map 2
KalshiTeam Falcons vs Aurora Gaming
LimitlessCounter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
PolymarketAurora Gaming vs. Team Falcons
KalshiAurora Gaming vs. Team Falcons: Total Maps
KalshiRules
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Team Falcons and Aurora Gaming in the ESL Pro League Season 24 2026, initially scheduled for October 4, 2026 UTC.
This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Map 1 against Aurora Gaming.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 1 against Team Falcons.
If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1.
If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 18, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 4, 2026 UTC).
This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Map 1 against Aurora Gaming.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 1 against Team Falcons.
If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1.
If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 18, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 4, 2026 UTC).
- If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played.
- Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Aurora Gaming vs. Team Falcons: Map 1 · Team Falcons 54%