Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 4, 2026, 2:22 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
No 66.7%
No 66.7%Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Oct 3, 26, 9:05 PM UTCOct 5, 26, 9:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between ShindeN and Legacy in the ESL Pro League Season 24 2026, initially scheduled for October 4, 2026 UTC.
This market will resolve to "ShindeN" if ShindeN win Map 1 against Legacy.
This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy win Map 1 against ShindeN.
If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1.
If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 18, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 4, 2026 UTC).
This market will resolve to "ShindeN" if ShindeN win Map 1 against Legacy.
This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy win Map 1 against ShindeN.
If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1.
If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 18, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 4, 2026 UTC).
- If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played.
- Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Legacy vs. ShindeN: Map 1 · Legacy 67%