Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 12, 2026, 2:26 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Yes 50%
Yes 50%Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Oct 11, 26, 3:05 PM UTCOct 15, 26, 1:30 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Legacy and PARIVISION in the Thunderpick World Championship 2026, initially scheduled for October 14, 2026 UTC.
This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy win Map 1 against PARIVISION.
This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win Map 1 against Legacy.
If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1.
If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 28, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 14, 2026 UTC).
This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy win Map 1 against PARIVISION.
This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win Map 1 against Legacy.
If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1.
If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 28, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 14, 2026 UTC).
- If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played.
- Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
