Current implied probability
No 82.5%
No 82.5%Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Sep 28, 26, 10:00 AM UTCOct 2, 26, 4:03 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Kei Nishikori and Frances Tiafoe in the ATP Japan Open, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 00:00 UTC.
- This market will resolve to 'Kei Nishikori' if Kei Nishikori advances against Frances Tiafoe.
- This market will resolve to 'Frances Tiafoe' if Frances Tiafoe advances against Kei Nishikori.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Japan Open Tennis Championships: Kei Nishikori vs Frances Tiafoe · Nishikori vs. Tiafoe: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 — Over 75%
