Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 5, 2026, 7:41 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Yes 70%
Yes 70%Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Oct 5, 26, 1:36 PM UTCOct 8, 26, 2:00 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Hubert Hurkacz and James Duckworth in the ATP Shanghai Masters, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 02:00 UTC.
- This market will resolve to 'Hubert Hurkacz' if Hubert Hurkacz advances against James Duckworth.
- This market will resolve to 'James Duckworth' if James Duckworth advances against Hubert Hurkacz.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
