Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 4, 2026, 1:50 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Yes 67.2%
Yes 67.2%Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Oct 3, 26, 6:00 PM UTCOct 5, 26, 10:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Henrique Rocha and Inaki Montes in the ATP Porto Challenger, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 10:00 UTC.
- This market will resolve to 'Henrique Rocha' if Henrique Rocha advances against Inaki Montes.
- This market will resolve to 'Inaki Montes' if Inaki Montes advances against Henrique Rocha.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Porto 2: Henrique Rocha vs Inaki Montes · Rocha vs. Montes: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 — Over 71%