Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Jul 12, 2026, 3:57 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Yes
- Recorded
- Jul 12, 2026, 4:09 AM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probability
Yes 50%
Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
-
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleJul 12, 26, 3:30 AMJul 12, 26, 4:00 AM
50%
50%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
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This market will resolve to "Up" if the Chainlink ETH/USD price on July 12, 2026, at 04:00 UTC is greater than or equal to the price captured on July 12, 2026, at 03:45 UTC.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down".
Resolution source: Chainlink ETH/USD data stream.
- Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used.
If Chainlink is briefly missing data on July 12, 2026, at 04:00 UTC, the next available price within 5 seconds will be used.
- In the rare event of a longer Chainlink outage, the market will be resolved manually by the Limitless team using the closest available Chainlink price.
The Chainlink ETH/USD price captured on July 12, 2026, at 03:45 UTC was $1809.054797184095550000.