Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 2, 2026, 8:10 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Yes 56.5%
Yes 56.5%Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Oct 1, 26, 10:00 AM UTCOct 4, 26, 2:03 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Denis Shapovalov and Alejandro Tabilo in the ATP Japan Open, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 00:00 UTC.
- This market will resolve to 'Denis Shapovalov' if Denis Shapovalov advances against Alejandro Tabilo.
- This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Tabilo' if Alejandro Tabilo advances against Denis Shapovalov.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo · Shapovalov vs. Tabilo: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 — Over 81%
