Current implied probability
Yes 77.5%
Yes 77.5%Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Oct 5, 26, 6:00 PM UTCOct 7, 26, 9:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka
PolymarketCarlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka: Set 1 Winner
KalshiCarlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka: Exact Match Score
KalshiCarlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka: Set 2 Winner
KalshiCarlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka: Game Spread
KalshiWill Jannik Sinner play fewer tournaments than Carlos Alcaraz in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Alcaraz and Jiri Lehecka in the ATP Japan Open, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 09:00 UTC.
- This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Jiri Lehecka.
- This market will resolve to 'Jiri Lehecka' if Jiri Lehecka advances against Carlos Alcaraz.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.