Current implied probability
Yes 79.5%
Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$377.4
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
-
Market data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Jul 12, 26, 2:00 AMJul 12, 26, 4:00 AM
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes80%
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BTC price on Jul 12, 2026 at 12am EDT?
$774.1K$64,000 or above: 99%
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Bitcoin above ___ on July 12?
$656.6K52,000: 100%
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POLYMARKETBTC price on Jul 12, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
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$189.6K↓ 64,000: 100%POLYMARKET
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This market will resolve to "Up" if the price for Pyth BTC/USD on July 12, 2026, at 04:00 UTC is strictly higher than the price for Pyth BTC/USD on July 12, 2026, at 03:00 UTC.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down".
The price for Pyth BTC/USD captured on July 12, 2026, at 03:00 UTC was $64,036.63000000.
Resolution source: Pyth BTC/USD price feed.
- Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used.
If Pyth is briefly missing data at exactly 04:00 UTC on July 12, 2026, the next available Pyth price within 5 seconds will be used for the affected timestamp.
In the rare event of a longer Pyth outage, the market will be resolved manually by the Limitless team using the closest available Pyth price.