Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Yes
- Recorded
- Jul 11, 2026, 3:25 PM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probability
Yes 95.2%
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$200.2K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
-
Market data
Updated yesterday
StaleJul 11, 26, 12:00 PMJul 11, 26, 3:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Yes95.2%
No4.8%
95.2%
4.8%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
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This market will resolve to "Up" if the price for Pyth BTC/USD on July 11, 2026, at 15:00 UTC is strictly higher than the price for Pyth BTC/USD on July 11, 2026, at 14:00 UTC.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down".
The price for Pyth BTC/USD captured on July 11, 2026, at 14:00 UTC was $64,194.26474984.
Resolution source: Pyth BTC/USD price feed.
- Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used.
If Pyth is briefly missing data at exactly 15:00 UTC on July 11, 2026, the next available Pyth price within 5 seconds will be used for the affected timestamp.
In the rare event of a longer Pyth outage, the market will be resolved manually by the Limitless team using the closest available Pyth price.