This market resolved: Yes (77%)
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Current implied probability
Yes 77%
Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.2K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
-
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleJul 4, 26, 8:00 PMJul 4, 26, 10:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Yes77%
No23%
77%
23%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
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This market will resolve to "Up" if the price for Pyth BTC/USD on July 4, 2026, at 22:00 UTC is strictly higher than the price for Pyth BTC/USD on July 4, 2026, at 21:00 UTC.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down".
The price for Pyth BTC/USD captured on July 4, 2026, at 21:00 UTC was $63,182.33665469.
Resolution source: Pyth BTC/USD price feed.
- Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used.
If Pyth is briefly missing data at exactly 22:00 UTC on July 4, 2026, the next available Pyth price within 5 seconds will be used for the affected timestamp.
In the rare event of a longer Pyth outage, the market will be resolved manually by the Limitless team using the closest available Pyth price.