Probability Timeline
Yes99.5%
No0.5%
YesWon
NoLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Astralis and fnatic in the Stake Ranked Episode 4 2026, initially scheduled for October 3, 2026 UTC.
This market will resolve to "Astralis" if Astralis win Map 2 against fnatic.
This market will resolve to "fnatic" if fnatic win Map 2 against Astralis.
If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2.
If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 17, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 3, 2026 UTC).
This market will resolve to "Astralis" if Astralis win Map 2 against fnatic.
This market will resolve to "fnatic" if fnatic win Map 2 against Astralis.
If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2.
If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 17, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 3, 2026 UTC).
- If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played.
- Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
