Current implied probability
Yes 97.8%
Market quality
23 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.2K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
-
Market data
Updated 17 days ago
StaleJul 8, 26, 8:00 PMJul 9, 26, 8:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Yes97.8%
No2.2%
97.8%
2.2%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Yes
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall73% match · auto | Low | 100% | — | $2.1K | $0 | 16 days ago | Open → |
 LimitlessThis page | Low | 98% | — | $1.2K | $0 | 17 days ago |
Also available on Polymarket
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on July 9?
50.0 ptsClosed
Resolved
Up (100%)
+0.5pt100%
-0.5pt0%
49 • Low qualityTight spreadLow liquidity
Total Vol$4.2K
24h Vol$2.1K
POLYMARKETRules
This market will resolve to "Up" if the price for Amazon (Pyth AMZN/USD) on July 9, 2026 is strictly higher than the price for Amazon (Pyth AMZN/USD) on the most recent prior trading day.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down".
The price for Amazon (Pyth AMZN/USD) captured on July 8, 2026 was $243.66524.
Resolution source: Pyth AMZN/USD price feed.
- Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used.
For example, a Monday market would ordinarily compare Monday's price with the previous Friday's price, unless that Friday was a market holiday.
- In that case, it would compare against Thursday's price, or the next most recent trading day.
If Amazon (AMZN) does not trade at all during the regular session on July 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Down".
For a standard full trading session, the price for that trading day refers to the Pyth price at the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If either relevant trading day has no valid Pyth price at the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the last valid Pyth price published during that day's regular trading hours will be used as the effective price for that day.
If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which AMZN is listed will be used to determine the price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting AMZN during the relevant time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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This market will resolve to "Up" if the price for Amazon (Pyth AMZN/USD) on July 9, 2026 is strictly higher than the price for Amazon (Pyth AMZN/USD) on the most recent prior trading day.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down".
The price for Amazon (Pyth AMZN/USD) captured on July 8, 2026 was $243.66524.
Resolution source: Pyth AMZN/USD price feed.
- Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used.
For example, a Monday market would ordinarily compare Monday's price with the previous Friday's price, unless that Friday was a market holiday.
- In that case, it would compare against Thursday's price, or the next most recent trading day.
If Amazon (AMZN) does not trade at all during the regular session on July 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Down".
For a standard full trading session, the price for that trading day refers to the Pyth price at the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If either relevant trading day has no valid Pyth price at the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the last valid Pyth price published during that day's regular trading hours will be used as the effective price for that day.
If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which AMZN is listed will be used to determine the price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting AMZN during the relevant time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.