Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Sep 26, 2026, 6:56 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
No 71.8%
No 71.8%Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Sep 26, 26, 8:00 AM UTCSep 28, 26, 7:03 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexandre Muller and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the ATP Chengdu Open, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 01:00 UTC.
- This market will resolve to 'Alexandre Muller' if Alexandre Muller advances against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina.
- This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Davidovich Fokina' if Alejandro Davidovich Fokina advances against Alexandre Muller.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Chengdu Open: Alexandre Muller vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · Muller vs. Fokina: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 — Over 81%