Current implied probability
No 60.5%
Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Sep 3, 26, 4:00 AMSep 5, 26, 5:03 PM
Trends
Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Bublik and Tommy Paul in the ATP US Open, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 15:00 UTC.
- This market will resolve to 'Alexander Bublik' if Alexander Bublik advances against Tommy Paul.
- This market will resolve to 'Tommy Paul' if Tommy Paul advances against Alexander Bublik.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for CoinRithm reference is 61%. Quotes span about 22 percentage points between the widest venues. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference 61% · 2 venues · 22 pt venue spread
- Also available on Gemini — Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul · Tommy Paul 61%
- Also available on Polymarket — US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul · Paul Set 1 O/U 8.5 79%
- Also available on Futuur — Tommy Paul vs. Alexander Bublik · Yes 61%
Open markets
Sports
KALSHIOmega European Masters Winner
- Angel Ayora Fanegas+7.3pt9.4%
- Harry Hall+4.1pt6.6%
- Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra+4.2pt6.6%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.5M
- 24h Vol
- $4.3M
KALSHIBucsa vs Sakatsume
- Cristina Bucsa+31.0pt99%
- Himeno Sakatsume-32.0pt1%
- Total Vol
- $5.5M
- 24h Vol
- $3.8M
KALSHIBonzi vs Buse
- Benjamin Bonzi62%
- Ignacio Buse38%
- Total Vol
- $3.4M
- 24h Vol
- $3.1M
KALSHIMilwaukee vs Chicago C
- Milwaukee+3.0pt53.5%
- Chicago C-3.0pt46.5%
- Total Vol
- $2.8M
- 24h Vol
- $2.8M
POLYMARKET2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
- Carlos Alcaraz+5.5pt41.4%
- Alexander Zverev+0.1pt21.1%
- Taylor Fritz+1.8pt10.6%
+45 more outcomes
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz+6.0pt43%
- Alexander Zverev+1.0pt22%
- Taylor Fritz+3.0pt11%
+32 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $18.2M
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul?
- Limitless prices No at 61% as of September 4, 2026.
- When does Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul resolve?
- Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul is scheduled to resolve on September 5, 2026.
- How is Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul settled?
- Limitless settles this market as follows: This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Bublik and Tommy Paul in the ATP US Open, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 15:00 UTC.
- Where else is Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul listed?
- The same question is also listed on Gemini, Polymarket, Futuur.