Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Sep 4, 2026, 7:35 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Yes 60.5%
Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Sep 2, 26, 7:00 PMSep 5, 26, 9:03 PM
Trends
Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Michelsen and Daniel Merida Aguilar in the ATP US Open, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 15:00 UTC.
- This market will resolve to 'Alex Michelsen' if Alex Michelsen advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar.
- This market will resolve to 'Daniel Merida Aguilar' if Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Alex Michelsen.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for CoinRithm reference is 40%. Quotes span about 21 percentage points between the widest venues. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference 40% · 2 venues · 21 pt venue spread
- Also available on Futuur — Daniel Merida Aguilar vs. Alex Michelsen · No 60%
- Also available on Gemini — Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar · Alex Michelsen 60%
- Also available on Polymarket — US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar · Aguilar Set 1 O/U 8.5 73%
Open markets
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- Quentin Halys+9.0pt25.7%
- Total Vol
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- 24h Vol
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KALSHISt. Louis vs Los Angeles D
- St. Louis+30.0pt57.4%
- Los Angeles D-29.0pt42.6%
- Total Vol
- $6.1M
- 24h Vol
- $5.8M
KALSHIOmega European Masters Winner
- Angel Ayora Fanegas+9.0pt10%
- Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra+4.5pt7.3%
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+97 more outcomes
KALSHIUAB vs Illinois
- Illinois+2.0pt99%
- UAB-3.0pt1%
- Total Vol
- $3.3M
- 24h Vol
- $3.2M
KALSHIA's vs Seattle
- A's+37.0pt72.3%
- Seattle-37.0pt27.7%
- Total Vol
- $3.3M
- 24h Vol
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KALSHIIdaho vs Utah
- Utah99%
- Idaho-1.0pt1%
- Total Vol
- $2.8M
- 24h Vol
- $2.5M
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar?
- Limitless prices Yes at 61% as of September 4, 2026.
- When does Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar resolve?
- Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar is scheduled to resolve on September 5, 2026.
- How is Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar settled?
- Limitless settles this market as follows: This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Michelsen and Daniel Merida Aguilar in the ATP US Open, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 15:00 UTC.
- Where else is Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar listed?
- The same question is also listed on Futuur, Gemini, Polymarket.