Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Sep 26, 2026, 11:14 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
No 69.5%
No 69.5%Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Sep 25, 26, 9:00 AM UTCSep 28, 26, 9:03 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Adrian Mannarino and Denis Shapovalov in the ATP Chengdu Open, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 01:00 UTC.
- This market will resolve to 'Adrian Mannarino' if Adrian Mannarino advances against Denis Shapovalov.
- This market will resolve to 'Denis Shapovalov' if Denis Shapovalov advances against Adrian Mannarino.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov · Mannarino vs. Shapovalov: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 — Over 79%
