
This market resolved: Yes (50%)
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Probability Timeline
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| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Low | 100% | — | $1.5K | $0 | 31 days ago | Open → | |
| Low | 50% | — | $0 | $50 | 32 days ago |
Also available on Polymarket

Resolved
Yes (100%)


Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any team fails to record a win during the group stage at the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or official group stage results are not available within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if any team fails to record a win during the group stage at the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or official group stage results are not available within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.