KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Above $81.99 (63%)
Resolved: Jul 28, 2026, 12:00 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Above $81.99
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 27, 2026, 10:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Above $81.99
- Recorded
- Jul 28, 2026, 12:08 AM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityAbove $80.99 98%Leader of 40 outcomes
Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$4.7K
Liquidity
$3.3K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
- / 2.0%
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleJul 27, 26, 10:01 PMJul 27, 26, 11:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Above $82.591%
Above $81.5987%
Above $82.491%
Above $82.392%
Above $81.4987%
Above $81.6992%
Above $82.295%
Above $81.9963%
Above $82.0923%
Above $81.7975%
Above $81.8964%
Above $82.1915%
Above $82.793%
Above $81.3988%
Above $82.894%
Above $82.993%
Above $80.9998%
Above $81.0996%
Above $82.698%
Above $81.2991%
Above $81.1993%
Above $79.890%
Above $79.990%
Above $80.090%
Above $80.190%
Above $80.290%
Above $80.390%
Above $80.490%
Above $80.590%
Above $80.690%
Above $80.790%
Above $80.890%
Above $83.090%
Above $83.190%
Above $83.290%
Above $83.390%
Above $83.490%
Above $83.590%
Above $83.690%
Above $83.790%
1%
87%
1%
2%
87%
92%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Volume trend
$4.7kJul 272d of dataJul 28
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POLYMARKET
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If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for WTI using the WTIU6 contract on July 27, 2026 at 7:00 PM EDT is above 79.89 USD/barrel, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 0.01 decimal places.
- When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval.
- For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM.
- If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.
- Settlement is based on the nearest listed contract month, rolling forward to the next contract 2 business days before the current contract's last trading day.