KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Aryna Sabalenka 59.4%
Market quality
76 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$13.7K
Liquidity
$11.1K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
59.0% / 60.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Sep 9, 26, 3:10 AM UTCSep 24, 26, 11:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Coco Gauff vs Elena Rybakina: Set 1 Winner
KalshiAryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula: Set 2 Winner
KalshiCoco Gauff vs Elena Rybakina: Set 2 Winner
KalshiUS Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula
PolymarketAryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula
LimitlessAryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula: 22 or more total games?
LimitlessRules
If the named outcome wins set 1 in the the named outcome vs the named outcome professional tennis match in the 2026 US Open Women Singles Semifinal, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:WTA
- The following market refers to the the named outcome vs the named outcome professional tennis match in the 2026 US Open Women Singles Semifinal.
- If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
- If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly.
- Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange.
Open markets
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula: Set 1 Winner?
- Kalshi prices Aryna Sabalenka at 59% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula: Set 1 Winner resolve?
- Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula: Set 1 Winner is scheduled to resolve on September 24, 2026.
- How is Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula: Set 1 Winner settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome wins set 1 in the the named outcome vs the named outcome professional tennis match in the 2026 US Open Women Singles Semifinal, then the market resolves to Yes.