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  1. Prediction Markets
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  3. Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka: Set 1 Winner
Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka: Set 1 Winner

Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka: Set 1 Winner

9.0% (24h)Sports
KalshiKalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

This market resolved: Aryna Sabalenka (65%)

Resolved: Jun 1, 2026, 7:27 PM

Winning Outcome

Aryna Sabalenka

At 7 days out

—

At 24 hours out

—

Current implied probability
Aryna Sabalenka
Aryna Sabalenka 65%-9.0%
Market quality

52 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$1.2K

Liquidity

$1K

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

63.0% / 68.0%

Spread

7.9%

Moderate spread
Market data

Updated 11 days ago

Stale
May 30, 26, 2:21 PMJun 15, 26, 9:00 AM

Probability Timeline

Aryna Sabalenka65%
Naomi Osaka39%
0%25%50%75%100%Jun 1
Outcome24hChance
Aryna Sabalenka
Aryna Sabalenka
-9.0%
65%
Naomi Osaka
Naomi Osaka
+10.0%
39%

This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.

Rules

If Aryna Sabalenka wins set 1 in the Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Women Singles Round Of 16, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The following market refers to the Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Women Singles Round Of 16.
  • If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
  • If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
  • If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly.
  • Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange.

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Rules

If Aryna Sabalenka wins set 1 in the Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Women Singles Round Of 16, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The following market refers to the Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Women Singles Round Of 16.
  • If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
  • If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
  • If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly.
  • Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange.