KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Naomi Osaka (95%)
Resolved: Aug 10, 2026, 12:36 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Naomi Osaka
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
71%
ConsensusCurrent implied probabilityNaomi Osaka 94.1%+24.0pt
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$4.1M
Liquidity
$2.6M
High liquidityBid / Ask
5.0% / 6.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleAug 8, 26, 4:05 PMAug 23, 26, 4:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Leylah Fernandez6%
Naomi Osaka95%
5.9%
94.1%
Rules
If Leylah Fernandez wins the Fernandez vs Osaka professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Toronto Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Fernandez vs Osaka professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Toronto Round Of 16 after a ball has been played.
- If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
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