KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Minnesota wins by over 6.5 points (99%)
Resolved: Jul 29, 2026, 2:12 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Minnesota wins by over 6.5 points
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
79%
ConsensusData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 29, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Minnesota wins by over 6.5 points
- Recorded
- Jul 29, 2026, 2:34 AM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityMinnesota wins by over 6.5 points 99%+22.0ptLeader of 13 outcomes
Market quality
45 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$551.6K
Liquidity
$292.1K
High liquidityBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleJul 27, 26, 1:53 AMJul 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Minnesota wins by over 15.5 points1%
Minnesota wins by over 12.5 points1%
Minnesota wins by over 18.5 points1%
Minnesota wins by over 9.5 points1%
Minnesota wins by over 6.5 points99%
Minnesota wins by over 21.5 points1%
Minnesota wins by over 24.5 points1%
Minnesota wins by over 27.5 points1%
Minnesota wins by over 3.5 points99%
Minnesota wins by over 1.5 points99%
Toronto wins by over 3.5 points1%
Toronto wins by over 1.5 points1%
Toronto wins by over 6.5 points8%
1%
1%
1%
1%
99%
1%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Volume trend
$551.6kJul 273d of dataJul 29
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If Minnesota wins by more than 27.5 points in the Toronto vs Minnesota women's Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Jul 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within 2 days).
- If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than 2 days out, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If Minnesota wins by more than 24.5 points in the Toronto vs Minnesota women's Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Jul 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.