KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Indiana wins by over 6.5 points (99%)
Resolved: Aug 15, 2026, 2:07 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 15, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probabilityIndiana wins by over 6.5 points 99%+45.0ptLeader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1M
Liquidity
$543.4K
High liquidityBid / Ask
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleAug 13, 26, 1:30 AMAug 16, 26, 11:30 PM
Probability Timeline
Indiana wins by over 6.5 points21%
Indiana wins by over 3.5 points36%
Indiana wins by over 9.5 points9%
Indiana wins by over 1.5 points45%
Indiana wins by over 12.5 points6%
Indiana wins by over 15.5 points2%
Dallas wins by over 1.5 points48%
Dallas wins by over 3.5 points39%
Dallas wins by over 6.5 points25%
Indiana wins by over 18.5 points1%
99%
99%
99%
99%
1%
1%
Rules
If Indiana wins by more than 18.5 points in the Dallas vs Indiana women's Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Aug 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within 2 days).
- If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than 2 days out, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If Indiana wins by more than 15.5 points in the Dallas vs Indiana women's Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Aug 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.