KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Las Vegas wins by over 1.5 points (99%)
Resolved: Sep 29, 2026, 11:47 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Las Vegas wins by over 1.5 points
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 29, 2026, 11:26 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Indiana wins by over 1.5 points1%
Las Vegas wins by over 1.5 points99%
Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points99%
Indiana wins by over 6.5 points1%
Indiana wins by over 3.5 points1%
Las Vegas wins by over 6.5 points99%
Indiana wins by over 9.5 points0%
Las Vegas wins by over 1.5 pointsWon
Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 pointsLost
Las Vegas wins by over 6.5 pointsLost
Indiana wins by over 1.5 pointsLost
Indiana wins by over 6.5 pointsLost
Indiana wins by over 3.5 pointsLost
Indiana wins by over 9.5 pointsLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Minnesota vs New York: 1st Quarter Spread
KalshiAtlanta vs Washington: 1st Quarter Spread
KalshiGolden State vs Dallas: 1st Quarter Spread
KalshiLas Vegas vs Indiana: 3rd Quarter Spread
KalshiLas Vegas vs Indiana
GeminiWill Frank Mrvan win the Indiana 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExRules
If Indiana wins by more than 9.5 points in the 1st quarter of the Las Vegas vs Indiana women's Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Sep 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within 2 days).
- If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than 2 days out, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If Indiana wins by more than 6.5 points in the 1st quarter of the Las Vegas vs Indiana women's Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Sep 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
