KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Reg Time: Norway over 0.5 goals (99%)
Resolved: Jul 11, 2026, 11:10 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Reg Time: Norway over 0.5 goals
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
70%
ConsensusData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 11, 2026, 10:58 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current implied probability
Reg Time: Norway over 0.5 goals 99%+28.0ptLeader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.8M
Liquidity
$1.4M
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 51 days ago
StaleJul 6, 26, 12:10 PMJul 25, 26, 9:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Reg Time: Norway over 0.5 goals70%
Reg Time: Norway over 2.5 goals1%
Reg Time: Norway over 1.5 goals13%
Reg Time: England over 0.5 goals84%
Reg Time: England over 3.5 goals1%
Reg Time: England over 1.5 goals21%
Reg Time: England over 2.5 goals1%
99%
99%
21%
13%
1%
1%
1%
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Rules
If Norway records above 0.5 goals in the Norway vs England professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to Norway in the Norway vs England professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties).
- Own goals count towards the team awarded the goal.
- If Norway records above 1.5 goals in the Norway vs England professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Norway records above 2.5 goals in the Norway vs England professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If England records above 0.5 goals in the Norway vs England professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
