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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Sports
  3. France vs Senegal: Spread
France vs Senegal: Spread

France vs Senegal: Spread

49.0% (24h)SportsOne-OffSoccerFIFA World Cup
KalshiKalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

This market resolved: France wins by over 1.5 goals (90%)

Resolved: Jun 16, 2026, 9:07 PM

Winning Outcome

France wins by over 1.5 goals

At 7 days out

—

At 24 hours out

41%

Surprise
Current implied probability
France wins by over 1.5 goals
France wins by over 1.5 goals 90%+49.0%
Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality

89 / 100

High quality
24h Volume

$40.9K

Liquidity

$25.4K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

86.0% / 90.0%

Spread

4.7%

Moderate spread
Market data

Updated 2 days ago

Stale
Jun 5, 26, 1:47 AMJun 30, 26, 7:00 PM

Probability Timeline

France wins by over 1.5 goals90%
France wins by over 2.5 goals13%
Senegal wins by over 1.5 goals4%
Senegal wins by over 2.5 goals2%
0%25%50%75%100%Jun 15Jun 16Jun 16
Outcome24hChance
France wins by over 1.5 goals
France wins by over 1.5 goals
+49.0%
90%
France wins by over 2.5 goals
France wins by over 2.5 goals
-7.0%
13%
Senegal wins by over 1.5 goals
Senegal wins by over 1.5 goals
-3.0%
1%
Senegal wins by over 2.5 goals
Senegal wins by over 2.5 goals
1%

This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.

Rules

If France wins by more than 2.5 goals in the France vs Senegal professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If France wins by more than 1.5 goals in the France vs Senegal professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Senegal wins by more than 1.5 goals in the France vs Senegal professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Senegal wins by more than 2.5 goals in the France vs Senegal professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

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Rules

If France wins by more than 2.5 goals in the France vs Senegal professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If France wins by more than 1.5 goals in the France vs Senegal professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Senegal wins by more than 1.5 goals in the France vs Senegal professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Senegal wins by more than 2.5 goals in the France vs Senegal professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.