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  1. Prediction Markets
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  3. Island Nations: Teams to Reach the Knockout Stage
Island Nations: Teams to Reach the Knockout Stage

Island Nations: Teams to Reach the Knockout Stage

15.0% (24h)One-OffSportsSoccerFIFA World Cup24d
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
2+ teams
2+ teams 66%+15.0%
Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0.1

Liquidity

$5.3

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

1.0% / 99.0%

Spread

9800.0%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 9 minutes ago

Jun 3, 26, 11:00 PMJul 5, 26, 2:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
3+ teams
3+ teams
0%
4+ teams
4+ teams
0%

Selected outcome

2+ teams66%

Rules

If at least 1 team from an island nation reaches the knockout stage in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Island nations competing in the 2026 Men’s FIFA World Cup: Curacao (Group E) New Zealand (Group G) Cape Verde (Group H) Japan (Group F) Australia (Group D)
  • For the purposes of this market, a country is considered an “island nation” if it is surrounded by water on all sides and does not share a land border with another country.
  • To clarify, the following countries are not considered “island nations”: Haiti England Scotland Korea Republic
  • This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA.
  • Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.

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Rules

If at least 1 team from an island nation reaches the knockout stage in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Island nations competing in the 2026 Men’s FIFA World Cup: Curacao (Group E) New Zealand (Group G) Cape Verde (Group H) Japan (Group F) Australia (Group D)
  • For the purposes of this market, a country is considered an “island nation” if it is surrounded by water on all sides and does not share a land border with another country.
  • To clarify, the following countries are not considered “island nations”: Haiti England Scotland Korea Republic
  • This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA.
  • Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.