KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: England to win in Extra Time (99%)
Resolved: Jul 12, 2026, 12:06 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
England to win in Extra Time
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
8%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 11, 2026, 11:58 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current implied probability
England to win in Extra Time 95.2%+92.0ptLeader of 6 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$8.3M
Liquidity
$5.8M
High liquidityMarket data
Updated 51 days ago
StaleJul 6, 26, 12:05 PMJul 25, 26, 9:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Norway to win in Extra Time6%
Norway to win in Penalty Shootout1%
England to win in Extra Time99%
England to win in Penalty Shootout1%
95.2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Rules
If Norway advances past England in the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Quarterfinal soccer tie originally scheduled for Jul 11, 2026 via victory in Regulation Time, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Regulation Time: Resolves to Yes if the specified team advances during regulation time, which includes the standard 90 minutes of play plus all stoppage/injury time, but excludes extra time and any penalty shootout.
- Extra Time: Resolves to Yes if the specified team advances after extra time is played, but before any penalty shootout occurs.
- Penalty Shootout: Resolves to Yes if the specified team advances via a penalty shootout following the completion of regulation time and extra time.
- If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA.
