KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: France to win in Regulation Time (97%)
Resolved: Jul 9, 2026, 10:16 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
France to win in Regulation Time
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
60%
ConsensusCurrent implied probability
France to win in Regulation Time 95.1%+38.0ptLeader of 6 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2.9M
Liquidity
$2.9M
High liquidityMarket data
Updated 53 days ago
StaleJul 5, 26, 12:15 AMJul 23, 26, 8:00 PM
Probability Timeline
France to win in Penalty Shootout1%
France to win in Regulation Time97%
Morocco to win in Penalty Shootout1%
Morocco to win in Regulation Time1%
Morocco to win in Extra Time1%
France to win in Extra Time1%
95.1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Rules
If France advances past Morocco in the France vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Quarterfinal soccer tie originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 via victory in Regulation Time, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Regulation Time: Resolves to Yes if the specified team advances during regulation time, which includes the standard 90 minutes of play plus all stoppage/injury time, but excludes extra time and any penalty shootout.
- Extra Time: Resolves to Yes if the specified team advances after extra time is played, but before any penalty shootout occurs.
- Penalty Shootout: Resolves to Yes if the specified team advances via a penalty shootout following the completion of regulation time and extra time.
- If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA.
