KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Penalty Kick (99%)
Resolved: Jul 12, 2026, 12:46 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 11, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current implied probability
Penalty Kick 99%+45.0ptLeader of 32 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2.4M
Liquidity
$2.2M
High liquidityMarket data
Updated 51 days ago
StaleJul 8, 26, 10:10 PMJul 12, 26, 12:15 AM
Probability Timeline
Hard Rock Stadium1%
Powerade1%
Penalty Kick99%
Red Card1%
Messi99%
Comeback / Come Back99%
VAR99%
Gianni / Infantino89%
Maradona / Pelé1%
Ronaldo26%
What a Save29%
Nutmeg / Meg99%
Handball99%
Champion90%
Zlatan / Ibrahimovic61%
Crossbar37%
Lenovo28%
Own Goal1%
Soccer67%
Golden Boot1%
Captain1%
Golden Ball1%
What a Strike / What a Finish99%
Qatar1%
Hattrick / Hat Trick1%
Shakira1%
Record1%
Dolphins1%
Trump2%
Shutout / Shut Out99%
GOAT1%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
2%
1%
1%
1%
Rules
If any official broadcast commentator - includes play by play, color commentator, rules analyst or sideline reporter says the named outcome as part of Norway vs England , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Video of the Norway vs England originally scheduled for Jul 11, 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Norway vs England originally scheduled for Jul 11, 2026 will be used.
- Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
- Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
- Commentary will count following kickoff and end once the match has concluded, inclusive of extra time and/or a penalty shootout.
- Commentary will no longer count following the referee's final whistle.
