KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Reg Time: Spain (99%)
Resolved: Jul 14, 2026, 9:01 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Reg Time: Spain
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
28%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 14, 2026, 8:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current implied probability
Reg Time: Spain 97.1%+70.0ptLeader of 3 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$27.4M
Liquidity
$18.4M
High liquidityMarket data
Updated 49 days ago
StaleJul 10, 26, 9:31 PMJul 28, 26, 7:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Reg Time: France1%
Reg Time: Spain99%
Reg Time: Tie2%
97.1%
2%
1%
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Rules
If France wins the France vs Spain professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the France vs Spain professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties).
- If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes.
- If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA.
- Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.
