KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Spain advances (99%)
Resolved: Jul 6, 2026, 9:05 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Spain advances
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
67%
ConsensusCurrent implied probability
Spain advances 99%+32.0pt
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$41.2M
Liquidity
$52.1M
High liquidityBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Market data
Updated 57 days ago
StaleJul 3, 26, 2:05 AMAug 3, 26, 7:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Portugal advances1%
Spain advances99%
99%
1%
Rules
If Portugal advance past Spain in the Portugal vs Spain soccer match in the Round Of 16 of the FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi
- If Spain advance past Portugal in the Portugal vs Spain soccer match in the Round Of 16 of the FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Sports
POLYMARKET2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
- Carlos Alcaraz+6.0pt33%
- Alexander Zverev+0.6pt23.3%
- Ben Shelton+1.4pt7.8%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $15.3M
- 24h Vol
- $2.5M
KALSHISeattle vs Boston: Total Runs
- Over 2.5 runs scored93%
- Over 3.5 runs scored86%
- Over 4.5 runs scored79%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.2M
- 24h Vol
- $2.2M
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz+7.0pt28.2%
- Alexander Zverev-1.0pt17.7%
- Ben Shelton7.3%
+32 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $14.6M
POLYMARKETEPL: 2027 Champion
- Arsenal+1.5pt49%
- Manchester City+1.0pt23.1%
- Chelsea-3.0pt13.5%
+17 more outcomes
KALSHIBertola vs Kym
- Jerome Kym66.3%
- Remy Bertola33.7%
- Total Vol
- $1.8M
- 24h Vol
- $1.8M
KALSHIComesana vs Cobolli
- Flavio Cobolli-15.0pt66.3%
- Francisco Comesana+15.0pt33.7%
- Total Vol
- $1.9M
- 24h Vol
- $1.7M
- 2027 Pro Football Champion
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Portugal vs Spain?
- Kalshi prices Spain advances at 99% as of July 6, 2026.
- When does Portugal vs Spain resolve?
- Portugal vs Spain is scheduled to resolve on August 3, 2026.
- How is Portugal vs Spain settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Portugal advance past Spain in the Portugal vs Spain soccer match in the Round Of 16 of the FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.