KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: England (99%)
Resolved: Jul 18, 2026, 11:09 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 18, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- England
- Recorded
- Jul 18, 2026, 11:31 PM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityEngland 99%+65.0ptLeader of 48 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2M
Liquidity
$2.9M
High liquidityBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Market data
Updated 9 days ago
StaleJun 2, 26, 9:00 PMJul 18, 28, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Morocco4%
Norway13%
Mexico12%
France1%
Brazil9%
England99%
Portugal15%
Colombia7%
Argentina18%
1%
99%
1%
1%
1%
2%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· England
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageBest overall | Low | 99% | — | $2M | $2.9M | 9 days ago | |
 Manifold Markets88% match · verified | — | 99% | — | — | — | 8 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Manifold Markets
Third Place Country at the 2026 Fifa World Cup?
Closed
Resolved
England (99.3%)
99.3%
0%
0%
+45 more outcomes
Community forecast47 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
If Mexico wins the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup third-place match originally scheduled for July 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA.
- Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.
- If South Africa wins the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup third-place match originally scheduled for July 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Korea Republic wins the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup third-place match originally scheduled for July 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Czechia wins the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup third-place match originally scheduled for July 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$1.1k71.0%KALSHIFrance — No9d ago
KALSHIFrance — No9d ago$1.6k42.0%KALSHIFrance — No9d ago
KALSHIFrance — No9d ago$1.2k30.0%KALSHIFrance — No9d ago
KALSHIFrance — No9d ago$1.7k69.0%KALSHIEngland — No9d ago
KALSHIEngland — No9d ago$2.5k34.0%KALSHIEngland — Yes9d ago
KALSHIEngland — Yes9d ago$8.0k68.0%KALSHIFrance — Yes10d ago
KALSHIFrance — Yes10d ago$1.9k68.0%KALSHIFrance — Yes10d ago
KALSHIFrance — Yes10d ago$2.6k67.0%KALSHIFrance — Yes10d ago
KALSHIFrance — Yes10d agoVolume trend
$2.0MJul 217d of dataJul 18
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If Mexico wins the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup third-place match originally scheduled for July 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA.
- Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.
- If South Africa wins the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup third-place match originally scheduled for July 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Korea Republic wins the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup third-place match originally scheduled for July 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Czechia wins the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup third-place match originally scheduled for July 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.