KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNo trading activity
Data as of Sep 30, 2026, 6:22 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Above 156.857 No observed price
Above 156.857 No observed priceMarket quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
—
Open interest unknownSpread
98.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Sep 30, 26, 1:30 PM UTCSep 30, 26, 9:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 1s (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
USDJPY price on Oct 02 at 5:00 PM EDT
KalshiWill the USD/JPY exchange rate exceed 155.75 on October 1, 2026? (FX) (Forex) (Currency pair) (Dollar yen) (USDJPY) (Foreign exchange)?
ForecastExWill the USD/JPY exchange rate exceed 157.5 on October 1, 2026? (FX) (Forex) (Currency pair) (Dollar yen) (USDJPY) (Foreign exchange)?
ForecastExWill the USD/JPY exchange rate exceed 157.75 on October 1, 2026? (FX) (Forex) (Currency pair) (Dollar yen) (USDJPY) (Foreign exchange)?
ForecastExWill the USD/JPY exchange rate exceed 156.5 on October 1, 2026? (FX) (Forex) (Currency pair) (Dollar yen) (USDJPY) (Foreign exchange)?
ForecastExNasdaq-100 price on Sep 30, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
KalshiRules
If the value of the USDJPY opening candlestick is Above 156.857 at 5pm ET on Sep 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved The market resolves based on the open value of the USDJPY exchange rate as published by Pyth at 5pm ET on Sep 30, 2026. If the rate is Above 156.857 at that time, the market resolves to Yes. If not, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Rounding to four decimal places shall be assumed unless otherwise specified. If no data is available from Pyth at the specified time, the most recently available value will be used.
Settles via:Pyth - USDJPY
Rules for each outcome
- Above 156.857
- If the value of the USDJPY opening candlestick is Above 156.857 at 5pm ET on Sep 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved The market resolves based on the open value of the USDJPY exchange rate as published by Pyth at 5pm ET on Sep 30, 2026. If the rate is Above 156.857 at that time, the market resolves to Yes. If not, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Rounding to four decimal places shall be assumed unless otherwise specified. If no data is available from Pyth at the specified time, the most recently available value will be used.
- Above 156.859
- If the value of the USDJPY opening candlestick is Above 156.859 at 5pm ET on Sep 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved The market resolves based on the open value of the USDJPY exchange rate as published by Pyth at 5pm ET on Sep 30, 2026. If the rate is Above 156.859 at that time, the market resolves to Yes. If not, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Rounding to four decimal places shall be assumed unless otherwise specified. If no data is available from Pyth at the specified time, the most recently available value will be used.
- Above 156.861
- If the value of the USDJPY opening candlestick is Above 156.861 at 5pm ET on Sep 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved The market resolves based on the open value of the USDJPY exchange rate as published by Pyth at 5pm ET on Sep 30, 2026. If the rate is Above 156.861 at that time, the market resolves to Yes. If not, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Rounding to four decimal places shall be assumed unless otherwise specified. If no data is available from Pyth at the specified time, the most recently available value will be used.
- Above 156.863
- If the value of the USDJPY opening candlestick is Above 156.863 at 5pm ET on Sep 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved The market resolves based on the open value of the USDJPY exchange rate as published by Pyth at 5pm ET on Sep 30, 2026. If the rate is Above 156.863 at that time, the market resolves to Yes. If not, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Rounding to four decimal places shall be assumed unless otherwise specified. If no data is available from Pyth at the specified time, the most recently available value will be used.
- Above 156.865
- If the value of the USDJPY opening candlestick is Above 156.865 at 5pm ET on Sep 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved The market resolves based on the open value of the USDJPY exchange rate as published by Pyth at 5pm ET on Sep 30, 2026. If the rate is Above 156.865 at that time, the market resolves to Yes. If not, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Rounding to four decimal places shall be assumed unless otherwise specified. If no data is available from Pyth at the specified time, the most recently available value will be used.
- Above 156.867
- If the value of the USDJPY opening candlestick is Above 156.867 at 5pm ET on Sep 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved The market resolves based on the open value of the USDJPY exchange rate as published by Pyth at 5pm ET on Sep 30, 2026. If the rate is Above 156.867 at that time, the market resolves to Yes. If not, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Rounding to four decimal places shall be assumed unless otherwise specified. If no data is available from Pyth at the specified time, the most recently available value will be used.
- Above 156.869
- If the value of the USDJPY opening candlestick is Above 156.869 at 5pm ET on Sep 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved The market resolves based on the open value of the USDJPY exchange rate as published by Pyth at 5pm ET on Sep 30, 2026. If the rate is Above 156.869 at that time, the market resolves to Yes. If not, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Rounding to four decimal places shall be assumed unless otherwise specified. If no data is available from Pyth at the specified time, the most recently available value will be used.
- Above 156.871
- If the value of the USDJPY opening candlestick is Above 156.871 at 5pm ET on Sep 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved The market resolves based on the open value of the USDJPY exchange rate as published by Pyth at 5pm ET on Sep 30, 2026. If the rate is Above 156.871 at that time, the market resolves to Yes. If not, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Rounding to four decimal places shall be assumed unless otherwise specified. If no data is available from Pyth at the specified time, the most recently available value will be used.
- Above 156.873
- If the value of the USDJPY opening candlestick is Above 156.873 at 5pm ET on Sep 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved The market resolves based on the open value of the USDJPY exchange rate as published by Pyth at 5pm ET on Sep 30, 2026. If the rate is Above 156.873 at that time, the market resolves to Yes. If not, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Rounding to four decimal places shall be assumed unless otherwise specified. If no data is available from Pyth at the specified time, the most recently available value will be used.
- Above 156.875
- If the value of the USDJPY opening candlestick is Above 156.875 at 5pm ET on Sep 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved The market resolves based on the open value of the USDJPY exchange rate as published by Pyth at 5pm ET on Sep 30, 2026. If the rate is Above 156.875 at that time, the market resolves to Yes. If not, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Rounding to four decimal places shall be assumed unless otherwise specified. If no data is available from Pyth at the specified time, the most recently available value will be used.
- Above 156.877
- If the value of the USDJPY opening candlestick is Above 156.877 at 5pm ET on Sep 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved The market resolves based on the open value of the USDJPY exchange rate as published by Pyth at 5pm ET on Sep 30, 2026. If the rate is Above 156.877 at that time, the market resolves to Yes. If not, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Rounding to four decimal places shall be assumed unless otherwise specified. If no data is available from Pyth at the specified time, the most recently available value will be used.
- Above 156.879
- If the value of the USDJPY opening candlestick is Above 156.879 at 5pm ET on Sep 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved The market resolves based on the open value of the USDJPY exchange rate as published by Pyth at 5pm ET on Sep 30, 2026. If the rate is Above 156.879 at that time, the market resolves to Yes. If not, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Rounding to four decimal places shall be assumed unless otherwise specified. If no data is available from Pyth at the specified time, the most recently available value will be used.
- Above 156.881
- If the value of the USDJPY opening candlestick is Above 156.881 at 5pm ET on Sep 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved The market resolves based on the open value of the USDJPY exchange rate as published by Pyth at 5pm ET on Sep 30, 2026. If the rate is Above 156.881 at that time, the market resolves to Yes. If not, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Rounding to four decimal places shall be assumed unless otherwise specified. If no data is available from Pyth at the specified time, the most recently available value will be used.
- Above 156.883
- If the value of the USDJPY opening candlestick is Above 156.883 at 5pm ET on Sep 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved The market resolves based on the open value of the USDJPY exchange rate as published by Pyth at 5pm ET on Sep 30, 2026. If the rate is Above 156.883 at that time, the market resolves to Yes. If not, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Rounding to four decimal places shall be assumed unless otherwise specified. If no data is available from Pyth at the specified time, the most recently available value will be used.
- Above 156.885
- If the value of the USDJPY opening candlestick is Above 156.885 at 5pm ET on Sep 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved The market resolves based on the open value of the USDJPY exchange rate as published by Pyth at 5pm ET on Sep 30, 2026. If the rate is Above 156.885 at that time, the market resolves to Yes. If not, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Rounding to four decimal places shall be assumed unless otherwise specified. If no data is available from Pyth at the specified time, the most recently available value will be used.
- Above 156.887
- If the value of the USDJPY opening candlestick is Above 156.887 at 5pm ET on Sep 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved The market resolves based on the open value of the USDJPY exchange rate as published by Pyth at 5pm ET on Sep 30, 2026. If the rate is Above 156.887 at that time, the market resolves to Yes. If not, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Rounding to four decimal places shall be assumed unless otherwise specified. If no data is available from Pyth at the specified time, the most recently available value will be used.
- Above 156.889
- If the value of the USDJPY opening candlestick is Above 156.889 at 5pm ET on Sep 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved The market resolves based on the open value of the USDJPY exchange rate as published by Pyth at 5pm ET on Sep 30, 2026. If the rate is Above 156.889 at that time, the market resolves to Yes. If not, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Rounding to four decimal places shall be assumed unless otherwise specified. If no data is available from Pyth at the specified time, the most recently available value will be used.
- Above 156.891
- If the value of the USDJPY opening candlestick is Above 156.891 at 5pm ET on Sep 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved The market resolves based on the open value of the USDJPY exchange rate as published by Pyth at 5pm ET on Sep 30, 2026. If the rate is Above 156.891 at that time, the market resolves to Yes. If not, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Rounding to four decimal places shall be assumed unless otherwise specified. If no data is available from Pyth at the specified time, the most recently available value will be used.
- Above 156.893
- If the value of the USDJPY opening candlestick is Above 156.893 at 5pm ET on Sep 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved The market resolves based on the open value of the USDJPY exchange rate as published by Pyth at 5pm ET on Sep 30, 2026. If the rate is Above 156.893 at that time, the market resolves to Yes. If not, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Rounding to four decimal places shall be assumed unless otherwise specified. If no data is available from Pyth at the specified time, the most recently available value will be used.
- Above 156.895
- If the value of the USDJPY opening candlestick is Above 156.895 at 5pm ET on Sep 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved The market resolves based on the open value of the USDJPY exchange rate as published by Pyth at 5pm ET on Sep 30, 2026. If the rate is Above 156.895 at that time, the market resolves to Yes. If not, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Rounding to four decimal places shall be assumed unless otherwise specified. If no data is available from Pyth at the specified time, the most recently available value will be used.
