KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
156.500 to 156.749 13.2%Leader of 15 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
156.500 to 156.749 13.2%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$143
Open interest
$143
Low open interestSpread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Sep 30, 26, 2:00 PM UTCOct 1, 26, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 1m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
US Dollar / Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) Up or Down on September 30?
PolymarketWill the USD/JPY exchange rate exceed 155.75 on October 1, 2026? (FX) (Forex) (Currency pair) (Dollar yen) (USDJPY) (Foreign exchange)?
ForecastExWill the USD/JPY exchange rate exceed 157.5 on October 1, 2026? (FX) (Forex) (Currency pair) (Dollar yen) (USDJPY) (Foreign exchange)?
ForecastExWill the USD/JPY exchange rate exceed 157.75 on October 1, 2026? (FX) (Forex) (Currency pair) (Dollar yen) (USDJPY) (Foreign exchange)?
ForecastExUS Dollar / Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) Up or Down on October 1?
PolymarketWill the USD/JPY exchange rate exceed 156.5 on October 1, 2026? (FX) (Forex) (Currency pair) (Dollar yen) (USDJPY) (Foreign exchange)?
ForecastExRules
If the open price of the Dollar/Yen for October 01, 2026 is between 156.500-156.749 at 10 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ICE
Rules for each outcome
- 156.500 to 156.749
- If the open price of the Dollar/Yen for October 01, 2026 is between 156.500-156.749 at 10 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 157.000 to 157.249
- If the open price of the Dollar/Yen for October 01, 2026 is between 157.000-157.249 at 10 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 157.250 to 157.499
- If the open price of the Dollar/Yen for October 01, 2026 is between 157.250-157.499 at 10 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 156.750 to 156.999
- If the open price of the Dollar/Yen for October 01, 2026 is between 156.750-156.999 at 10 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 156.250 to 156.499
- If the open price of the Dollar/Yen for October 01, 2026 is between 156.250-156.499 at 10 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 157.500 to 157.749
- If the open price of the Dollar/Yen for October 01, 2026 is between 157.500-157.749 at 10 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 157.750 to 157.999
- If the open price of the Dollar/Yen for October 01, 2026 is between 157.750-157.999 at 10 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 158.000 to 158.249
- If the open price of the Dollar/Yen for October 01, 2026 is between 158.000-158.249 at 10 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 158.5 or above
- If the open price of the Dollar/Yen for October 01, 2026 is above 158.499 at 10 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 156.000 to 156.249
- If the open price of the Dollar/Yen for October 01, 2026 is between 156.000-156.249 at 10 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 155.249 or below
- If the open price of the Dollar/Yen for October 01, 2026 is below 155.250 at 10 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 158.250 to 158.499
- If the open price of the Dollar/Yen for October 01, 2026 is between 158.250-158.499 at 10 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 155.250 to 155.499
- If the open price of the Dollar/Yen for October 01, 2026 is between 155.250-155.499 at 10 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 155.500 to 155.749
- If the open price of the Dollar/Yen for October 01, 2026 is between 155.500-155.749 at 10 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 155.750 to 155.999
- If the open price of the Dollar/Yen for October 01, 2026 is between 155.750-155.999 at 10 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.