Unemployment in April 2026
KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Above 3.9% (99%)
Resolved: May 8, 2026, 2:02 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
Above 3.9% 99%+1.0ptLeader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
48 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$26.2K
Liquidity
$1.4K
Low liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 118 days ago
StaleApr 3, 26, 3:00 PMAug 7, 26, 2:00 PM
Trends
99%
97%
92%
67%
31%
6%
2%
1%
1%
1%
Rules
If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 3.9% in April 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 4.0% in April 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 4.1% in April 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 4.2% in April 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 4.3% in April 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 4.4% in April 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Unemployment in April 2026?
- Kalshi prices Above 3.9% at 99% as of May 6, 2026.
- When does Unemployment in April 2026 resolve?
- Unemployment in April 2026 is scheduled to resolve on August 7, 2026.
- How is Unemployment in April 2026 settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 3.9% in April 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.