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What will Trump say during the White House Easter Egg Roll?

What will Trump say during the White House Easter Egg Roll?

5.0% (24h)1d
KalshiKalshiUS residents onlyKYC required2% fee
Market quality 31Low qualityThin market545pt disagreement

Alerts

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Decision support

Current implied probability

Event does not qualify 8%

Market quality

31 / 100

Low quality
Bid / Ask

8.0% / 9.0%

Market data

Updated 13 minutes ago

Last updated: Apr 5, 10:41 PM

Resolves

Apr 7, 2026, 2:00 PM

24h Volume

$803.6

Liquidity

$1.4K

Spread

12.5%

Wide spread
7d Change

-

Low liquidityThin marketNear resolution
Started Apr 1, 2026, 2:00 AMEnds Apr 7, 2026, 2:00 PM

Trends

No chart data available.
Outcome24hChance
Event does not qualify
Event does not qualify
+5.0%8%
Iran
Iran
+4.0%66%
Melania
Melania
-5.0%64%
Jesus
Jesus
-5.0%72%
Ballroom
Ballroom
-3.0%55%
Democrat
Democrat
+7.0%36%
Pope
Pope
+6.0%15%
Egg
Egg
+1.0%85%
Biden
Biden
0.0%25%
Transgender
Transgender
-1.0%8%
Movie Star
Movie Star
+3.0%34%
Supreme Court
Supreme Court
+3.0%11%
Hottest
Hottest
-7.0%27%
Inflation
Inflation
-1.0%17%
Shutdown / Shut Down
Shutdown / Shut Down
-1.0%21%
November 5
November 5
+4.0%11%
NASA / Moon
NASA / Moon
-53%
Settle / Deal
Settle / Deal
-54%
Rescue / Rescued
Rescue / Rescued
-68%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
-61%
Hormuz
Hormuz
-38%
Polymarket

Also available on Polymarket

545pt disagreement
KalshiKalshi
Last updated: 13 minutes ago
Iran
66%
Ballroom
55%
Movie Star
34%
Egg
85%
Vol

$1.8K

24h Vol

$803.6

Liq

$1.4K

Spread: Wide spreadLiquidity: Low liquidity
US residents onlyKYC required2% feeSettles in USD
PolymarketPolymarket
Last updated: 23 minutes ago
Iran
▲ +2pt68%
Ballroom
▲ +1pt56%
Movie Star
▼ 2pt32%
Egg
▼ 85pt-
Vol

$82.8K

24h Vol

$27.8K

Liq

$25.3K

Spread: Wide spreadLiquidity: Medium liquidity
Not available in USNo KYC2% feeSettles in USDC
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.

Rules

If a qualifying event does not occur, then the market resolves to Yes.

  • Video of the The White House Easter Egg Roll will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the The White House Easter Egg Roll will be used.
  • Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify. Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count. Please see full rules for more details.
  • Event does not qualify: If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
  • Postponement: If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.
  • If Donald Trump says Biden as part of The White House Easter Egg Roll, then the market resolves to Yes.

Macro-Sensitive Assets