KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Michael Thorbjornsen beats Nicolas Echavarria in the 2nd Round (99%)
Resolved: Aug 21, 2026, 6:25 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Michael Thorbjornsen beats Nicolas Echavarria in the 2nd Round
At 7 days out
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At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 21, 2026, 6:10 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Michael Thorbjornsen beats Nicolas Echavarria in the 2nd Round 99%
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$19.1K
Liquidity
$14.5K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleAug 21, 26, 2:49 AMSep 4, 26, 2:14 PM
Probability Timeline
Michael Thorbjornsen beats Nicolas Echavarria in the 2nd Round88%
Nicolas Echavarria beats Michael Thorbjornsen in the 2nd Round1%
99%
1%
Rules
If Nicolas Echavarria wins the head-to-head matchup against Michael Thorbjornsen in the 2nd round of the 2026 BMW Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Fox SportsNBC SportsThe Wall Street JournalESPNthe Associated Pressthe Governing LeagueGolf Channel
- If the head-to-head matchup is for a singular round, only the golfers’ scores from that specific round will be considered for the resolution of the market, regardless of their cumulative tournament score at the end of that round.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the PGA.
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- If Michael Thorbjornsen wins the head-to-head matchup against Nicolas Echavarria in the 2nd round of the 2026 BMW Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
