KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Kurt Kitayama beats J.T. Poston in the 2nd Round (87%)
Resolved: Aug 21, 2026, 7:35 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Kurt Kitayama beats J.T. Poston in the 2nd Round
At 7 days out
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At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 21, 2026, 7:10 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Kurt Kitayama beats J.T. Poston in the 2nd Round 87.9%
Market quality
29 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.6K
Liquidity
$1.6K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
15.0% / 45.0%
Spread
30.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleAug 21, 26, 2:49 AMSep 4, 26, 3:27 PM
Probability Timeline
J.T. Poston beats Kurt Kitayama in the 2nd Round12%
Kurt Kitayama beats J.T. Poston in the 2nd Round87%
87.9%
12.1%
Rules
If J.T. Poston wins the head-to-head matchup against Kurt Kitayama in the 2nd round of the 2026 BMW Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Fox SportsNBC SportsThe Wall Street JournalESPNthe Associated Pressthe Governing LeagueGolf Channel
- If the head-to-head matchup is for a singular round, only the golfers’ scores from that specific round will be considered for the resolution of the market, regardless of their cumulative tournament score at the end of that round.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the PGA.
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- If Kurt Kitayama wins the head-to-head matchup against J.T. Poston in the 2nd round of the 2026 BMW Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
