KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Matthew Southgate beats Couvra and Duval (35%)
Resolved: Jul 16, 2026, 11:36 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 16, 2026, 11:00 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current implied probability
Martin Couvra beats Southgate and Duval 47%-2.0ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
22 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.5K
Liquidity
$3.6K
Medium liquidityMarket data
Updated 47 days ago
StaleJul 13, 26, 3:22 PMJul 30, 26, 6:30 AM
Probability Timeline
Matthew Southgate beats Couvra and Duval35%
Martin Couvra beats Southgate and Duval49%
David Duval beats Southgate and Couvra12%
47%
35%
12%
Rules
If Matthew Southgate is determined to have won the 3-ball matchup among Matthew Southgate, Martin Couvra, and David Duval in the 1st round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tie Resolution
- If multiple participants are tied for the 3-ball lead at the end of the round:
- Yes payout: $1/N, rounded down to the nearest cent (N = number of tied participants) No payout: $1 minus the Yes payout
- Withdrawal Rule
- If a golfer withdraws prior to teeing off, all markets will resolve to fair market value.
