Current implied probability
Yes 26%-21.0%
Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2.5
Liquidity
$34
Low liquidityBid / Ask
26.0% / 32.0%
Spread
23.1%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Jun 16, 26, 6:00 PMJun 29, 26, 2:00 AM
Trends
Selected outcome
Yes26%
Also available on Polymarket
U.S. Open: First Time Winner?
11.0%
-0.1%60%
+0.1%40%
52 • Medium qualityModerate spreadLow liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$743.1
24h Vol$329.7
POLYMARKETRules
If any golfer who has not previously won a golf major championship wins the 2026 U.S.
- Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A golf major refers to one of the four annual major championship tournaments officially designated by the sport’s governing bodies: The Masters, PGA Championship, U.S.
- Open, and The Open Championship.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the PGA.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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If any golfer who has not previously won a golf major championship wins the 2026 U.S.
- Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A golf major refers to one of the four annual major championship tournaments officially designated by the sport’s governing bodies: The Masters, PGA Championship, U.S.
- Open, and The Open Championship.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the PGA.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.