KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: No (78%)
Resolved: Aug 12, 2026, 6:15 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 12, 2026, 6:10 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probabilityNo 78%
Market quality
35 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.9K
Liquidity
$808.6
Low liquidityBid / Ask
25.0% / 32.0%
Spread
7.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleAug 12, 26, 6:00 AMAug 12, 26, 6:15 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes22%
No78%
22%
78%
Rules
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' NEARUSDRTI before 2:15 AM EDT on Aug 12, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' NEARUSDRTI before 2:00 AM EDT on August 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same.
- While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI).
- At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected.
- The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 4 decimal places.