KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Toledo wins by over 2.5 points (99%)
Resolved: Sep 26, 2026, 7:29 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Probability Timeline
Toledo wins by over 13.5 points21%
Toledo wins by over 11.5 points24%
San Diego St. wins by over 5.5 points28%
San Diego St. wins by over 4.5 points30%
San Diego St. wins by over 16.5 points9%
Toledo wins by over 2.5 points53%
Toledo wins by over 7.5 points30%
San Diego St. wins by over 7.5 points21%
San Diego St. wins by over 13.5 points13%
San Diego St. wins by over 14.5 points11%
San Diego St. wins by over 9.5 points19%
San Diego St. wins by over 10.5 points16%
Toledo wins by over 10.5 points26%
Toledo wins by over 9.5 points31%
San Diego St. wins by over 6.5 points27%
San Diego St. wins by over 11.5 points16%
San Diego St. wins by over 20.5 points5%
Toledo wins by over 1.5 points56%
Toledo wins by over 3.5 points45%
Toledo wins by over 6.5 points34%
Toledo wins by over 4.5 points41%
San Diego St. wins by over 2.5 points40%
San Diego St. wins by over 3.5 points33%
Toledo wins by over 17.5 points99%
Toledo wins by over 16.5 points99%
Toledo wins by over 23.5 points91%
Toledo wins by over 26.5 points1%
Toledo wins by over 35.5 points1%
Toledo wins by over 32.5 points1%
Toledo wins by over 29.5 points1%
Toledo wins by over 2.5 pointsWon
Before close: 99% ·
Toledo wins by over 3.5 pointsLost
Before close: 99% ·
Toledo wins by over 17.5 pointsLost
Before close: 92% ·
Toledo wins by over 16.5 pointsLost
Before close: 96% ·
Toledo wins by over 6.5 pointsLost
Before close: 99% ·
Toledo wins by over 14.5 pointsLost
Before close: 99% ·
Toledo wins by over 4.5 pointsLost
Before close: 99% ·
Toledo wins by over 5.5 pointsLost
Before close: 99% ·
Toledo wins by over 7.5 pointsLost
Before close: 99% ·
Toledo wins by over 13.5 pointsLost
Before close: 99% ·
Toledo wins by over 1.5 pointsLost
Before close: 99% ·
Toledo wins by over 9.5 pointsLost
Before close: 99% ·
Toledo wins by over 10.5 pointsLost
Before close: 99% ·
Toledo wins by over 11.5 pointsLost
Before close: 98% ·
Toledo wins by over 23.5 pointsLost
Before close: 99% ·
Toledo wins by over 20.5 pointsLost
Before close: 87% ·
San Diego St. wins by over 17.5 pointsLost
Before close: 1% ·
San Diego St. wins by over 1.5 pointsLost
Before close: 1% ·
Toledo wins by over 26.5 pointsLost
Before close: 11% ·
San Diego St. wins by over 20.5 pointsLost
Before close: 1% ·
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If Toledo wins by more than 38.5 points in the San Diego St. vs Toledo college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result.
- If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If Toledo wins by more than 35.5 points in the San Diego St. vs Toledo college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.