KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Montana St. wins by over 3.5 points (99%)
Resolved: Sep 13, 2026, 6:03 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
Montana St. wins by over 3.5 points 99%+51.0ptLeader of 33 outcomes
Market quality
≤74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$684.6K
Liquidity
$496.2K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 53 minutes ago
LaggingSep 7, 26, 10:07 AM UTCSep 15, 26, 2:30 AM UTC
Probability Timeline
Montana St. wins by over 3.5 points89%
Nevada wins by over 2.5 points35%
Nevada wins by over 6.5 points1%
Montana St. wins by over 4.5 points95%
Montana St. wins by over 1.5 points92%
Montana St. wins by over 17.5 points1%
Montana St. wins by over 20.5 points47%
Montana St. wins by over 13.5 points73%
Montana St. wins by over 10.5 points79%
Montana St. wins by over 16.5 points67%
Montana St. wins by over 14.5 points68%
Montana St. wins by over 9.5 points79%
Montana St. wins by over 5.5 points86%
Montana St. wins by over 23.5 points28%
Montana St. wins by over 11.5 points78%
Montana St. wins by over 7.5 points84%
Montana St. wins by over 2.5 points87%
Nevada wins by over 13.5 points1%
Montana St. wins by over 26.5 points30%
Nevada wins by over 1.5 points4%
Montana St. wins by over 32.5 points0%
Nevada wins by over 4.5 points3%
Montana St. wins by over 29.5 points0%
Nevada wins by over 10.5 points1%
Nevada wins by over 7.5 points2%
Nevada wins by over 11.5 points2%
Nevada wins by over 9.5 points3%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
7%
3%
3%
2%
2%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Rules
If Nevada wins by more than 17.5 points in the Montana St. vs Nevada college football game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result.
- If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If Nevada wins by more than 16.5 points in the Montana St. vs Nevada college football game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
